Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 11/04/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
78% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,477.87
Unexplained QUAI: 1,809.2
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
8,287.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 8287 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,114.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,114.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,363.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,363.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
3,125.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:02:19 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8,287.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:03:30 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
36,972.96 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:01:14 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3,895.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:04:33 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:00:10 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
3,868.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:05:38 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:59:05 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,727.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/04/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,114.55 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:03:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,114.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:03:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Tx: 0x00110047b9805a155ad361baf9c83d2bd9acdd9da59d0fe941cc0980befba283
1,363.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 2:03:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x006b0026d27d3ea98a4ad5652f2bee3051f083ad3b4a3be1c090ec53e90b302d
