Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 1:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 1:37:00 A.M. to 11/04/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 768.65
Unexplained QUAI: 5,693.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
2
18.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
6,462.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 6463 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 1:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
610.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net receiver
Unknown type
610.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
158.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Net receiver
Unknown type
158.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
9,721.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:36:32 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,462.59 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:37:38 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:35:28 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:38:42 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
12,494.82 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:34:24 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
5,808.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:39:46 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate26 tx
23,869.3 QUAI • 39 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:33:19 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
4,581.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:40:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
610.64 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:37:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
158.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:37:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x000400316df2fb8646cf2dbed8ff3524d2fbb9fbd9a2cdddd8fcfe7b4f1b0905
610.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:37:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x0014007080784c559ebeab2cbc01904a40c3770e3ecc444c6b4dc435fafc8324
