Spike bucket
11/04/2026, 1:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/04/2026, 1:27:00 A.M. to 11/04/2026, 1:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 772.28
Unexplained QUAI: 2,538.85
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
3,311.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3311 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/04/2026, 1:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
550.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb
Net receiver
Unknown type
550.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
114.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00494aef4C13030670C96d4980211b5EC2c939aa
Net receiver
Unknown type
114.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
107.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
10,145.03 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:26:50 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,552.01 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:25:47 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,311.13 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:27:54 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
4,525.48 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:24:42 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
7,969.9 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:28:59 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:23:39 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,251.92 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:30:04 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
14,898.09 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/04/2026, 1:22:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
550.69 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:27:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
114.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:27:15 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00494aef4C13030670C96d4980211b5EC2c939aa
Tx: 0x0050006c9150cd6401b054c7cc1c9b90960779a049b2265ba2fbabf6b1b37f96
107.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:27:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017438536777eC422ebc63AB1d7095B2e53E140
Tx: 0x0001006105b419866300e43aef748f7efa937fbd038d6a2edbe757fefb8c1ceb
550.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/04/2026, 1:27:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb
Tx: 0x001a001a2ccdf12da907d288a11d7266703ad21e3c9be6ed0584029c34302264
