Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 10:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 10:09:00 P.M. to 11/03/2026, 10:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 128.78
Unexplained QUAI: 21,069.97
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
8
15.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
21,198.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x005a2ddfc484A6AD08518c5744200a7cB3D8ea79.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 21199 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x005a2ddfc484A6AD08518c5744200a7cB3D8ea79.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 10:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
128.78 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x005a2ddfc484A6AD08518c5744200a7cB3D8ea79
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
21,198.75 QUAI • 65 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:09:29 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:08:25 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:07:21 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:10:33 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:06:17 P.M.
+3 min
16 tx
259.68 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:11:37 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:05:13 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:12:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
62.82 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005a2ddfc484A6AD08518c5744200a7cB3D8ea79
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
9.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x001e0019a1967dd6e051face99d166acaa75658c22f22a945db40a6eb18664ce
62.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005a2ddfc484A6AD08518c5744200a7cB3D8ea79
Tx: 0x001b0062b63047ae865a1c53afc20765fea4b88ed658746a19e57d2b2240cdd9
6.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003dBD4B919230986121a19Cf7219046D903a9c0
Tx: 0x002f003288222b4a3cdf8717c6607fa86893b6ed4282e425e20b9963df6da6c6
10.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x007000667515b89e50d378ba958a15a5febaf7fdd504521f347af376e3361342
7.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x006b0017bad8092566235a56b144781692c0312b84c9c39eacdec8743ac06bce
5.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0066D26dE25f264196f901c5db4c4b6905A36763
Tx: 0x0048001cfe0e58b0da44572292d2540bfbd6e3ce30c3106946397f378febdb65
13.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x00460052edeabdcf90c52accaa3eb4289df72dcf055f998b320456ba8306760a
13.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:09:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x0058005eedecec17d9eb1591dc0d247bd018438da11f291dde00a0db96d4b89e