Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 8:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 8:49:00 P.M. to 11/03/2026, 8:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
4.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859 • 0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859 • 0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 8:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006e342946954e92236B41968676B171d48C671d
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:48:33 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:49:36 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
7 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:47:29 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:50:40 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:46:25 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:51:44 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
147.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:45:21 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:52:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2.5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:49:35 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA
To: 0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:49:35 P.M.
From: 0x006e342946954e92236B41968676B171d48C671d
To: 0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859
Tx: 0x002e0061e021e10c96f32fc3d4538933544f4b6ad321f4b0ca1c6b97ae558a16
2.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:49:35 P.M.
From: 0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA
To: 0x00730a35f914C384162a614f717CA7192C76C859
Tx: 0x007e00120bbda3a415b2cdddf3a170814a29a56091f4b58e1c93c4ea74c7fef8