Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 11/03/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 377.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
7.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
377.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 377 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
310.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
203.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
66.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 310.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:16:45 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
377.19 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:17:49 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:14:41 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:18:52 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
27.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:13:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:19:56 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:12:34 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/03/2026, 8:20:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
203.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:17:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
66.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:17:32 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x0023000d53d1b771d924c68129e16bf724d7ee41332f418c8afcb0064d96af18
106.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:17:32 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0076fe5d22de7b4231deebccd4b4bd472d16e6a14d86f28a7168bd3e70b6
203.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 8:17:32 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e00500976ae972c0ea0908d5b57b395f6baa436190ac1ce762a15785e63d4