Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 3:38:00 P.M. to 11/03/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 132.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
132.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000CD98F86d7Ed23082dee6B74C7618e0645c8Ff.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 132 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000CD98F86d7Ed23082dee6B74C7618e0645c8Ff.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
81.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000CD98F86d7Ed23082dee6B74C7618e0645c8Ff
Net receiver
Unknown type
81.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
51.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 81.23 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
164.64 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:37:34 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:36:31 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
132.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:38:38 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:39:42 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
34,270.9 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:35:27 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
77.84 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:40:45 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:34:20 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:41:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
81.23 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:38:19 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000CD98F86d7Ed23082dee6B74C7618e0645c8Ff
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
81.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:38:19 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000CD98F86d7Ed23082dee6B74C7618e0645c8Ff
Tx: 0x005c004ca304857f37c9dfc6ee00bf3a1d1a0a13c817c94bd09cc6e14216ffc6
51.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:38:03 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0016003ed7a1b2fed3ce0505f6cf97c9eae68d20a37b8d7d606a0d71b1b98806