Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 3:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 3:19:00 P.M. to 11/03/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 322.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 3:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
322.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
114.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
107.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
Net sender
Unknown type
100.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 322.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:19:27 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:18:23 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
68.26 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:17:20 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
322.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:20:31 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:16:16 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:21:34 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:15:13 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
237.03 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/03/2026, 3:22:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
114.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:19:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
107.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:19:28 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0069f1af7b9e0cec9a08bb2b62f6ac4c7cedf1c8031eabbaca01e5cf76e1
114.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:19:28 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046005f430076822748541dcccf3f36812753a83e85ee798c48a046cc605346
100.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 3:19:28 P.M.
From: 0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005001dd3dcd9de8de09c5d3c52e7a4a5f59428554a355d9d2b07f77b7877ec