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Spike bucket

11/03/2026, 10:20:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/03/2026, 10:20:00 A.M. to 11/03/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 78,810
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14 • 0x007830db565Be9b107A808cBcBd70CeC709BC9dF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14 • 0x007830db565Be9b107A808cBcBd70CeC709BC9dF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 10:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14
Net sender
Unknown type
78,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x007830db565Be9b107A808cBcBd70CeC709BC9dF
Net receiver
Unknown type
78,800 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0005513C3d10E5DC02EfA5e028166894198d5Ce3
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:19:26 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:20:30 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
4,987.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:18:23 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
78,820 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:21:33 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:17:20 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:22:37 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:16:17 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/03/2026, 10:23:41 A.M.

Biggest whale alert

78,800 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:20:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14
To: 0x007830db565Be9b107A808cBcBd70CeC709BC9dF
Open tx

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
78,800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:20:52 A.M.
From: 0x0015178f007bd5494e229C1cb1b649BEa5409c14
To: 0x007830db565Be9b107A808cBcBd70CeC709BC9dF
Tx: 0x0041003a0c615e1aa11a78e58d18bf17aeac1545ebdccfd8f2ea2a10339c2e0d
Open tx
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 10:20:52 A.M.
From: 0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
To: 0x0005513C3d10E5DC02EfA5e028166894198d5Ce3
Tx: 0x005a0033ff06617f84b9e97c16216d86349d16e76fcf3bb2ae9eb29fd645dad1
Open tx