Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M. to 11/03/2026, 5:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,074.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
1,074.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1075 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,074.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
Net sender
Unknown type
735.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001b33DC9f2582fb9e5eB74A7811D74FeD555204
Net sender
Unknown type
236.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,074.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
28 tx
677.73 QUAI • 44 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:11:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,074.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:12:35 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:10:27 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:13:39 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
935.36 QUAI • 51 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:09:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:14:43 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
92.35 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:08:15 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
42.29 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/03/2026, 5:15:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
735.21 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
735.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072001ea209e31a3c30c5a8db0a2da00cf4a8012c5274a09563527766b9b95f
236.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x001b33DC9f2582fb9e5eB74A7811D74FeD555204
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0055733dc600e5aab88b5afddf2aacdebab10f7c750830823316de2dc14b
103.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c0049e58b149deccc094ebf1cb2d0bbff1f75cf6699eb9d1734f3f66dd4f1