Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 2:48:00 A.M. to 11/03/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,537.3
Unexplained QUAI: 512.85
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
2,050.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007d583357198c01dA4cD32522E073686dB7aB77.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2050 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007d583357198c01dA4cD32522E073686dB7aB77.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,171.74 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007d583357198c01dA4cD32522E073686dB7aB77
Net receiver
Unknown type
671.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007B31fC383FF56B6BF32E42dBEF986822edDA76
Net receiver
Unknown type
499.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
245.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,184.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:47:44 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:46:39 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,050.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:48:47 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
5,384.37 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:45:35 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,995.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:49:52 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
4,824.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:44:31 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate9 tx
7,867.08 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:50:56 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
6,622.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/03/2026, 2:51:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
671.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007d583357198c01dA4cD32522E073686dB7aB77
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
110.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Tx: 0x00400074a7b8a3860ae086a5eeb7f793928e9ad9177253c738e44f0bb35dc086
671.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007d583357198c01dA4cD32522E073686dB7aB77
Tx: 0x002c001d7f489a9b723757fe15d7ff3dad3ea77b16c1ae8d6913f7f419d05320
49.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:47 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x003b004ff4950f253a57714cf4792adf3ab3a6a8423631dce33911bef833cfae
134.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x0011004d1ecf74923aad85038bf7fb499e7c7017b2f7fa08d63f4cf30a0f8098
499.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007B31fC383FF56B6BF32E42dBEF986822edDA76
Tx: 0x003d005748e548150495203a33f1b404b8c2d0371ba703f46e570a736a5f2ec2
70.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 2:48:02 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x00610004f567fc61980d8dfbdca95e6752e57d57c898bf606bf4148a2a6c3e9d