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Spike bucket

11/03/2026, 1:41:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/03/2026, 1:41:00 A.M. to 11/03/2026, 1:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,163.17
Unexplained QUAI: 15,466.46
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
6.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
19,629.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 19630 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 1:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,042.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,928.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
564.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Net receiver
Unknown type
456.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
434.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 11. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

2,928.61 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
113.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0029512E1E10E66bd91AE821A1B6B06B1890F1D4
Tx: 0x0073005f718830230faeaa255b7ea13511ea901143776b6d97b56e259767c24e
456.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Tx: 0x004500002d649980c0d295cf98f6f91317b7b488d2e7186a3f43b6a76d4e24df
257.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x0048005309397c9356b988bcc4a1a2a0e176a78a1193a3dad66866bd2c0e8205
57.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0040A7650a3bcBB984b0Fc61F23FA49e7e181846
Tx: 0x003b0070d5ecbabd10aefefbbd9b82007b229c8f89dfec659c2d2de1e8822e12
107.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002bfBeD2bE886Adf532cA8fd712949375146A0E
Tx: 0x0058001cedb69d5abd4174bee6b873c9e639ebb841b7f21f1ef6297f00296a4b
2,928.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x006b00500d7862c28307325022ea62661f036fc26a1e3285d1d4e8c65f9e15d9
176.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x000d0038a42c3bc04bc18bd9fb8c526d621f686c7f03d4dc06880cc53e3d4c27
65.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 1:41:12 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Tx: 0x003a0075a813a77242909ab3b3e60f9bc94178b415d99b9ecd8bd5bf21771102