Spike bucket
11/03/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/03/2026, 12:17:00 A.M. to 11/03/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 297.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/03/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
225.85 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
124.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
100.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
71.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000CeB50C226a80d275683f35fEC26Ce7CEb12af
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 225.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:17:14 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:16:11 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
297.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:18:18 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:15:07 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 3 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:19:21 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:14:03 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:20:26 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/03/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
124.87 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 12:17:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
33.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 12:17:40 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x0068004ec577158e325b150f50b7c15e50e0c909573dee4dc6fe35546c50485e
37.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 12:17:17 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x000CeB50C226a80d275683f35fEC26Ce7CEb12af
Tx: 0x00180077b786b772131c72c00c7d2302a239550eae2193ca6b2acb692aca9445
100.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 12:17:17 A.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056003875e07e6abacdb5077b977ee21b89fc68bb94d261d11daea58678e9b2
124.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/03/2026, 12:17:17 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d005adfd0b27afa568850993fa04f1b8f511d835f2643a19b7a85ed360aa5