Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 11:15:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 11:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492 • 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 72 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492 • 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
Net sender
Unknown type
38.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Net receiver
Unknown type
38.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
33.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
3,254.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:14:38 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
26.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:13:34 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
72 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:15:42 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:12:31 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:16:46 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:17:50 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:11:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 11:18:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
38.46 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 11:15:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
33.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 11:15:13 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x1Ce35579426F1b905D5eC563d8250Ed7da67d5C2
Tx: 0x00270021223e1899521d790a6d608cd5e3e6d2bbbc76352723dade917b12da56
38.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 11:15:04 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x002f00566866d80419f5a4c6e5ad521cd875c65ad0076a53dde161ecdb67fa81