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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 10:47:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,778.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
1,020.47 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1020 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00ca10a52016A90bEE45e1745320dB2C4ccfE34A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,778.98 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,733.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,266.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0077A46ff17DC4c8976793d456C64D04da5B1C6D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,184.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C39186372f49A8b92e66736401DfaC7e85122
Net sender
Unknown type
1,074.11 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00ca10a52016A90bEE45e1745320dB2C4ccfE34A
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,778.98 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

2,733.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:15 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ca10a52016A90bEE45e1745320dB2C4ccfE34A
Tx: 0x005100838fa4586315d7eeec575ca1554de1dd8fcc1fd5f060443892c71a3742
602.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00680031388c452cdb6fe6e0dcd2954b7ce2104f83c896e27b0d68a3f510b271
Open txWallet profile
106.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00460016f65bf46a92d7a8331f1801a0074362e58a542433bc212ae533f7dde0
Open txWallet profile
1,266.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770018d577a2350cfe573d438cf2d84768fe535981cb7312c30a9fc731964e
Open txWallet profile
811.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x0026dC85a940a9bC4E57b84fc73a1491F2d7cd50
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058004e857b867d05b628d54351454a0b2a036d81bcece0710669a09983adc1
Open txWallet profile
1,184.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x0077A46ff17DC4c8976793d456C64D04da5B1C6D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0022ae8e800a042cc7b1a96d91dbf00f1c4d670b94f798eea571ebf0ab27
Open txWallet profile
1,074.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x001C39186372f49A8b92e66736401DfaC7e85122
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000347852fccb462d07a68cd598ed09be08ae58c8ec4e2322fa1d1bae53d6
Open txWallet profile
2,733.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0067acfa594b426322a32b180a82d8c4d5229071648826ecd901ecd1a56f
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:47:08 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ca10a52016A90bEE45e1745320dB2C4ccfE34A
Tx: 0x0017003cd3c808d4edd4c40fb2e7112ebf508d33e6ae62979916039b75b4b47d