Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 9:34:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 95.85
Unexplained QUAI: 93.52
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
189.37 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 189 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
355.57 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Net receiver
Unknown type
355.57 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
95.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Net receiver
Unknown type
95.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
3 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:33:39 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:32:35 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
189.37 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:34:43 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:31:32 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:35:47 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:36:50 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:30:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:37:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:34:27 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:34:50 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Tx: 0x007800a04c6150d28c89c5f4fc4a33eac209d0560059ac13c2ea0333c5182411
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:34:27 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Tx: 0x00080047be315d6f73fa326f9b1f08e265f94c7467920c0ee5bac9f8a7935d84
95.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:34:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Tx: 0x007d0013d8aa6221efc68da49e37838648f73d7002a9cdca53e9c5de989761ae
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:34:11 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Tx: 0x004300cf7a16b14bacac5a2df7cc14f4a8e52f15d711a5b81cd0fc5f2efc8657