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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 9:18:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 581.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
6.8x above local average
8.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
580.27 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
68.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 580 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
580.27 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
257.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net sender
Unknown type
116.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 580.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:58 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00230034aed91f4005f0bfe6887c0e15c2a3ab5bbceb67fea9884b753b213c4a
102.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
From: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00409face2fc27fc330b49e53c4fcef42c4ac5cfdb4f6a3354e0d4d7ddc7
Open txWallet profile
116.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018005339a2f4c88c5e1979568ddf8d72d388bca46aad818e6933da5648808d
Open txWallet profile
257.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067004e95f02769d09844eebd333e4bea9ac1a637c5cfd731e44f137eccb547
Open txWallet profile
103.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
From: 0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c002d41eb54df2320901327a3e5dcf895252b0110ed32ef98f6f9e598e750
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:18:41 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B457d90a65086252Bc532e9Cc52b83adaa9C71
Tx: 0x00760023d8983f3e716fa53bb91b86256dfd47b56e11601c3428643b9f555208