Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 4:38:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 4:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
355.58 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
Net receiver
Unknown type
355.58 QI across 3 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
56.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
3 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
700,064.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:37:03 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
56.58 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:39:08 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
700,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:35:59 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:40:12 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:34:56 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:41:15 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:33:52 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
699,998.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:38:43 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:38:55 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
Tx: 0x005700995e1be5b40c1e5670a6161592a70f45798a973c8e85fe93ab5ca9826a
56.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:38:43 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x004a001a6bea8b041eb15baae94aead3b621d3d5bde7c0a9729e000556081070
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:38:43 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
Tx: 0x006f006a445ac11c2d4049c4e0281c3778630e8f36aac2f169f24a6b88adfe9a
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:38:18 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00c4c435334466BB500AF954DbBFBDF8B92cc116
Tx: 0x0050009b56bdaf962816aae62403858f4e8f71c8f3f209862de8340d505ce86e