Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 3:15:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,000
Unexplained QUAI: 38,760.08
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 347.22
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
8.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
43,760.08 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 43760 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2.78 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
43,760.08 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:15:15 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:14:12 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5,000 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:16:19 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,946.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:13:08 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
52,918.64 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:17:23 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
132,692.39 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:12:04 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
5,250 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:18:28 P.M.
-4 min
27 tx
483.44 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/02/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 3:15:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 3:15:59 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x002d0001508c1af8eb5b2917be873ec7505125329bc950122c10b2f669907cf2
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 3:15:14 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0087dbEdC9156139c792Ff0b95a3f8E377CD04a0
Tx: 0x007800b80cc751748d2546af7f7724a2a24a0a8e11b1bb3d6a81d0c67403cf0c
4,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 3:15:14 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005e007ff7b2859314a09e40c8c316ee24b492665075cc8df27a9256e731f727