Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:40:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 57,401.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00404CbcAA54add83Fea684B99C2C7c65594d139.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00404CbcAA54add83Fea684B99C2C7c65594d139.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00db5b81e7e081AFB19f3a6DDA508c426032B461 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
57,401.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00404CbcAA54add83Fea684B99C2C7c65594d139
Net receiver
Unknown type
57,401.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00db5b81e7e081AFB19f3a6DDA508c426032B461
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00db5b81e7e081AFB19f3a6DDA508c426032B461
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 57,401.26 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:40:01 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
48.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:38:58 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
57,401.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:41:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
53.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:37:54 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:42:09 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
54.01 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:36:50 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:43:14 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:35:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
57,401.26 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:40:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00404CbcAA54add83Fea684B99C2C7c65594d139
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:40:51 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00db5b81e7e081AFB19f3a6DDA508c426032B461
Tx: 0x003c009a0fedddbf30e9101cd7d13dac8c07b5c662627d127b391174785231b6
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:40:17 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00db5b81e7e081AFB19f3a6DDA508c426032B461
Tx: 0x0025003905fac198bdd234d745b0651a47eeb509631a9ad2d04a2dd3ebc3b9ee
57,401.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:40:17 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00404CbcAA54add83Fea684B99C2C7c65594d139
Tx: 0x0026006da0b43c63e724e2c1f96fa84e01ecba85a11f76fdeb903ff5b29109d9
