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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 2:27:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,482.82
Unexplained QUAI: 5,622.3
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.78
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.2x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
12
63.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
15,105.13 QUAI
2.78 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 15105 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,482.82 QUAI across 12 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Net sender
Unknown type
844.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
Net sender
Unknown type
840.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net sender
Unknown type
837.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b939FDc8EFf896Cab41092F59f053CB00c1Ee
Net sender
Unknown type
813.17 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,482.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

12 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 19. The remaining 7 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

844.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

12 transactions
789.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:13 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0016fe34C55A301e7a9108Fc9d413290CE17C1E5
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0023302d97a9666f7f1b4904d5a6a7492a0a1a33920c76cfcd28b823dec7
Open txWallet profile
840.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076005bfbe54ccbbb7643d7487da9fb0dc38a1e87c41a9a76d1e60015cd2285
Open txWallet profile
765.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c00751c381f69eb935c3706d804ab01f2a2cab4266ee867f36fc9cb78fddc
Open txWallet profile
837.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003007a04a6eaf0fe93b64f747ce1789c445aecc7cc83f6b3c3b60ecef8fff2
Open txWallet profile
727.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x002d7590589e3448A0DA067661946D1DE58C910a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b007aca1b04d64d56ddd13fee8b0182a69528705db56a41f28f8953f2c90f
Open txWallet profile
813.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x003b939FDc8EFf896Cab41092F59f053CB00c1Ee
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710066e1a005973a90bd3fb683f0fdc70ae9e32e4121fa3e3abf34d91e8c78
Open txWallet profile
802.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x003e14D608458F824683504F81a74160953433b7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046004e1ea54359fbed8a672163835de33b96a96db55948c8619f5ea06400ff
Open txWallet profile
806.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000500328397357880920f820d6fa121225e3eaba2027b211da7068ef4d5b686
Open txWallet profile
732.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x002dCa131f8f308A502e1C5F2bae01Ec46920604
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031006f6e1390e65b2f0e487da8116aabf20d8fd4690ed5ce4c4a5d3cfd4558
Open txWallet profile
844.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c002833e8ed96bd9ba3c2769bd689be3149f0e97193f5341c3a56c92d3c68
Open txWallet profile
752.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x0022F30322F85e4B1bDCfF0Ed81CB988d319c851
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d004ddc8a9bcb8de86a450adca2597fee69079c8bcc9793c41fe77e702924
Open txWallet profile
771.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:27:03 P.M.
From: 0x002B4Dcfc5c3b36944747dBEaa78354D097d6811
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00210026f3addfd8b3084b5eb5b5bec3c5c7a32025637a4a6699bd9e3bb32f56
Open txWallet profile