Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:26:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,854.98
Unexplained QUAI: 58,846.24
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 347.22
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
4.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
48
Observable rows
11
22.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
67,701.22 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
65.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 67701 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,854.98 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Net sender
Unknown type
935.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
Net sender
Unknown type
927.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Net sender
Unknown type
917.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Net sender
Unknown type
913.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,854.98 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
48 tx
67,701.22 QUAI • 65 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:26:05 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
+1 min
19 tx
15,105.13 QUAI • 38 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:27:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:23:56 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3,232.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:28:15 P.M.
-3 min
25 tx
99,974.13 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:22:52 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:29:19 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate18 tx
539,000.77 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:21:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
935.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
823.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:27 P.M.
From: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770021d6e7d2a30601543e1fe0c9e02504e48e5d30c5ba0ba20fd2602421e3
913.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290051ba958a4054538ab3759d7c20476e87fe9692ed29e495ab0b1473feb2
904.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e000949cca5396c85d2ec8840b4ecc1b1cf8bf8936b51c75160f54f670779
798.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b00602aa600b684c2dd49f4147ca17ebed68cc1e9fdca4639f6d63f49ac15
917.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0026e5cdbce18f78fffac22a347ac6de5fa69a079d1824dea2a6c9ceb822
873.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008007f132335f3b33f117058a03faf7666b3f13c7833fee0ed1b3e1fee34e5
849.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x001E1eb8cf445989a0211F1eb9Dc790f8AB20D94
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048002e8ca4497d18f2bffd917e25259b3ecee034b4ed587fc2d33bd0dda3f8
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:11 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295
Tx: 0x004b008697bfb8d0c8fc2db735b5aceecdbddc8950479c86a50cc29e6351d34d
927.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:11 P.M.
From: 0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007000724bfdc035d85356501735a1d72c5052d23c6870fee116c1ecbe43529
935.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:11 P.M.
From: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140041ad14bdb53c905cba055ad67017ecd03672cbe046882403c8cd297786
911.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:26:11 P.M.
From: 0x005e82418768fea4B407A1CdE005a7f895cee09E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0060d7da5216d7dfbf59b7f23386843ef2694cb98253c031a70f4b78a369
