Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:21:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 173,841.84
Unexplained QUAI: 365,158.93
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
6.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
13
72.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
539,000.77 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
67.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 539001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 46
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
173,841.84 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8
Net sender
Unknown type
49,027.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net sender
Unknown type
30,826.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net sender
Unknown type
18,075.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
Net sender
Unknown type
13,246.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 173,841.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:20:43 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:19:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate18 tx
539,000.77 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:21:48 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:18:37 P.M.
+2 min
25 tx
99,974.13 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:22:52 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:17:33 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:23:56 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,027.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295
Tx: 0x000100cdcc713b7f1d69bb96c5bc11a0898ada47e72c6d1ad66700d86e20e028
6,631.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x0079Bd3163bB40E066F34C94777061e9748E89D7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d007981d3e2f0c1bf261e26bcb0f8fa1e737d7ffb0d1d62643d2f99518a03
8,954.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c004a169ff9fa8f2771037f6fa20d82c99e12c8f3a5ce782b07c74b8944e8
7,101.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x002cC3925959f2F413875F35a3C1CF2151e75C81
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f0076a31d75083c12458e559fa6573a91eed9f8efe562e66a76ed428bb23b
9,671.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x000176E21C3f53da5C3df2C9F03C23C939F0B661
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00704ab320de8b331d1a873766121901c802157390e8275e591f2ae625ca
10,255.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0025ba5a4962b759163da8786067c45006c0b10db3c4f8c74489c680c683
13,246.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00420047f8194cbcade71554e38290feebfbd432c677749c4f990c8535faa446
18,075.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020004cdd2cfa9b7561f10605a860fed3dc5d1eb786c21611867fc9b699056a
10,274.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x0009f06c8f7FDaF1eDf05DabB6bb20c5597B0AA6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e00202bcc7646502825e1ffc4dcc52f9939f0b390f7a21caafe37aecff1db
49,027.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x00633D78C5205b44C997614511454a254f519bd8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190066f5e6522b96fbde09f229493db2b2ba7dbf5bc97f1232699f387558cf
9,776.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042005ed523c509404924170b135f17374377e411d4415257e22579e2901c75
30,826.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0046e0a12ce9fe7ff4aa9b86261756f430ec2241eec39aea9695c461f9ab
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295
Tx: 0x007c0064f63e30d13119969037d866b1bd1d8e0b5a6b862ad1f876ee1c168cf1