Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:20:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 365,158.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.79
Unexplained QI: 347.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
69.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
363,621.47 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
Net sender
Unknown type
143,305.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a74d0112BA14793459786F57b5b2D653932CC
Net sender
Unknown type
120,320.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
99,994.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,537.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 363,621.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:19:40 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:18:37 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:20:43 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:17:33 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate18 tx
539,000.77 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:21:48 P.M.
+3 min
25 tx
99,974.13 QUAI • 36 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:22:52 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
202.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:16:29 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:23:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
143,305.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00cA2a9C7E711f5241F5462d92FAeE52D3882295
Tx: 0x003300d411b055e96b384c5299fc36bdb5d1e19216bd7d20ac31fefc5c898ebd
143,305.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042007ea47af24b089657361dfd3c7dc0d47bf1bb589fbc1a16792bcdf1a483
120,320.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x000a74d0112BA14793459786F57b5b2D653932CC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00330017495bf52193767d73b0dcc31d5cd8419df3f7de07e1f87ca9be80befd
99,994.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003600277dcb087f8b9a47c0f4c525af3aea9ed073cd5fe45e7f4596b2e9f8dc
1,537.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0032748a442d4b47F031FC1Cf572300820eE3A50
Tx: 0x003f000fea51ac553b2780f4f58d764071b5a8d4d2592b41b925094e0508761e