Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:15:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 939.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
5.1x above local average
3.9x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
787.44 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
69.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 787 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
751.61 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
206.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
152.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 751.61 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
787.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:15:25 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:14:21 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
202.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:16:29 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:13:17 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:12:12 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:17:33 P.M.
-4 min
18 tx
255.24 QUAI • 38 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:11:08 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:18:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:56 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F
Tx: 0x005000e44fea3d33c485df85dd96ba5b9be30374170c6b5fe0b4b5eb02c5b08e
152.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:47 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00454A82d9fddAfabdA32B691816A75500b298fA
Tx: 0x000f00443c1cecabde3e0cb182c4e3aed4fcb96db8fdfbe417c52be815ae5ae4
102.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730043341e440273aa1a7893e8b41f9d936e92391970208bcc5dbfb322aee6
99.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x00198eb2E8fE856C82A8B2537C1217370BD465a6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005000204b13028ef98071f6d1ac7ebec706ea1924b5f8d78b7a680e4611bb4
104.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078002069db6811048cf53ddc79f130a36b5a816d4b95dcebdde862e6287c56
130.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046003f52785d69d3951aaf7037bc7078a4d7adce4813fb2dec92c384a2f1b3
206.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f0055e9e0c8318dbf220f0906e1d8bd54a8986da43fb15f3e2b78dfc51a1d
107.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0042aa976aa050bac61f1159ac89b5d596e6392546d122dc13abf1fefd7a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f83C325Bf1737E812b22eC41bcbE11F6175f8F
Tx: 0x000d0031285c89164f6ef25055edc6f745efc5c6adf1ddf028cc215dcaf85bbb
35.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:21 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x005f00309a75b544163ccbd626b11e8ebbec92df434ed91601249b43b1e6d48d