Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 255.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.77
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
0 QUAI
2.77 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
255.24 QUAI across 18 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:10:03 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,016.31 QUAI • 67 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
+1 min
18 tx
255.24 QUAI • 38 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:11:08 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:07:55 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:12:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:13:17 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
1,003.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:05:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
48.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
5.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002d9879066dafFA65f3E73BDEd7371e2371626A
Tx: 0x00630045cb05a24f875147a618807e34b4c43ebb5c219828aedd2b23f6de586d
4.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003DE90581096136B450076507A2994e08Cb2cAF
Tx: 0x001c0034f05bf357d36f479f905c6135a18ba6772ef6fb80208b634c9f05625e
16.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x0048002c55794311493cbb3c7d411cf404e4e7c8babfc403ff1b0f29132e267e
18.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x000a0020c0a81f2d212c132227749fd83f5aaf76e8238557b15e5feb6e489fe3
10.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x00750045ad88fb46fc20f36e8ba769ff87ecc3e6a063248efb2335ce2ebf9e21
21.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x004d002d7ebe5b1106e34f3611a8061156761c09bce652180a21bccb6586b8e9
8.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00034D43388Cef59547dd1714AFfE657877DA96C
Tx: 0x0018006f94e909bf34c707c029dffabbcd43cc96a937274a5cda4a62210ea61b
5.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0076006af7796cc65f3c2e7ff90f541fbe6728ef0e37469d8f52e3b05d512406
11.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x007600292a782688b417e2e21d1f6c567a8089c5e98f9502ea153319484f38b5
5.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007600F1d2F1aeec5f127a5c8f512dAc28A2f249
Tx: 0x00150024b54d8528d1c38e35f42e40af6fb4a511b9cfbfb7795bd54ad9dad5bd
4.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004b0eeB9A1F96edd3C925B9B485acEC6C26137E
Tx: 0x0023007ad1f49505c5e1b12c36127da03b29b1e57554fc3a1c927bcc7a628ca0
16.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x002300531b7ddf41b41d3ee9e943d56240e79612d52a592d06ac79703513fc2b
6.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x00410073061522d5ab00098e1462755b2507ba3c9d11bc80e8b42b57f461cda6
32.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0036000735d577518489e6189a2f28893e3bf413442a30d6e9f54f636403eadc
13.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x004f00221eacd4918ee70dd0f1e602701f1a9534b57ea67cd49d64309e0fd63f
14.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x004a00788ddad63978b2d469b91dca929ad4685d92cb1553d632e1949000933e
11.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x003f007e527f7497fc6d003638b676c53bb682c8f417346c9faf64e28c64154f
48.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:10:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000b003923ca29a59fdb16d664dcdf0473994c5dbb5e9b278039e229758fef81
