Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 12:05:00 P.M. to 11/02/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52.39
Unexplained QUAI: 406.92
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
459.31 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 459 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
52.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:04:32 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
459.31 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:05:36 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:03:29 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:06:41 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:02:25 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:07:44 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:01:22 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate53 tx
3,288.24 QUAI • 76 addresses
11/02/2026, 12:08:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 12:05:29 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 12:05:43 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D
Tx: 0x003700cb067b67bcac4d2ac1d8374d116346f53c4aad37f389f610562109a28c
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 12:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F41cB09Cd9e91a8682745220abaD8F5691AB9D
Tx: 0x001300075652c5a217fb8bb00fd2eced34983a0779f9233859374d45015fec2a
52.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 12:05:10 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00700076b7432706cfb31f0b44c2c7a76647d39a36bdd1095eaf38c6862da48f