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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 10:33:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 10:33:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 10:34:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

94% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 105.39

Unexplained QUAI: 6.43

Explained QI: 350

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume

Relative context

3.3x above local average

2.1x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

111.82 QUAI

350 QI

Avg confidence

81.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 112 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df.

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 11/02/2026, 10:33:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net sender

Unknown type

352.78 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df

Net receiver

Unknown type

352.78 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17

Net sender

Unknown type

105.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05

Net receiver

Unknown type

53.12 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4

Net receiver

Unknown type

52.27 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df

2 repeated flows • 350 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.