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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 569.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2 • 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2 • 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
Net sender
Unknown type
367 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85
Net receiver
Unknown type
367 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
202.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 202.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

367 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
To: 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:36 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Tx: 0x006a005bf0d7a984b5c42bb83c1c1881bacf555c83ecd22dfcecc7ab6f94f2ed
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:18 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Tx: 0x004900d537a1348b11e4056337a84c73d16254f7413e0f3414eec91a7e0f96fd
103.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d00043c2019521c63cc672a7515c20cb9b9cec7d7aa4923f035017d946044
Open txWallet profile
99.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0052f6ab3d6e323403b2b738ff5a323b06724a6c0f812c67b0ee02181d2f
Open txWallet profile
367 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
To: 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85
Tx: 0x002000340882d6da446e83abe80b14cce4b76f5af8d6361432883d591265da39