Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 569.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2 • 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2 • 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
Net sender
Unknown type
367 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85
Net receiver
Unknown type
367 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
202.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 202.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:18:02 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:16:58 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
569.44 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:19:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
34.37 QUAI • 9 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:15:54 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:20:11 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
83.19 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:14:51 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:21:15 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:13:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
367 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
To: 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:36 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Tx: 0x006a005bf0d7a984b5c42bb83c1c1881bacf555c83ecd22dfcecc7ab6f94f2ed
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:18 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af488CE4f05540326fc70184875de0a413a2Df
Tx: 0x004900d537a1348b11e4056337a84c73d16254f7413e0f3414eec91a7e0f96fd
103.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d00043c2019521c63cc672a7515c20cb9b9cec7d7aa4923f035017d946044
99.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0052f6ab3d6e323403b2b738ff5a323b06724a6c0f812c67b0ee02181d2f
367 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:18:14 A.M.
From: 0x00657007a640AdAB4DE5d0d1896Ddd13b47816B2
To: 0x0078AC16910bb8f976fe7ec8Ed9a92db44d7af85
Tx: 0x002000340882d6da446e83abe80b14cce4b76f5af8d6361432883d591265da39
