Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 10:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 10:00:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 10:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,917.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
10,917.93 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10918 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00b70D8FF61C755ad889348E70438087d6e5D0fF (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 10:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
10,917.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,948.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04
Net sender
Unknown type
4,969.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00b70D8FF61C755ad889348E70438087d6e5D0fF
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00b70D8FF61C755ad889348E70438087d6e5D0fF
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,969.28 QUAI
From exchange: 5,948.65 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:59:52 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:58:48 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
10,917.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:00:57 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:57:43 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:02:01 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:56:39 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 10:03:05 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:55:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,948.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:34 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006a00e5aa752bf8fc4f39bc9fb1682409ecf7c22ceabd882e6fd1e1db27039a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:34 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00b70D8FF61C755ad889348E70438087d6e5D0fF
Tx: 0x007100c46062479a368c1fc25724ad07029712f813584743f0ecd551884eae0b
4,969.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:14 A.M.
From: 0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0031556fdf5afad5455dbbeb68741b17c9005f7fafb76c5d34cff1713d09
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:14 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0024005b187e950388b1c6408209d7756caf414cbf6ed6553291381b85dd7826
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:14 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00b70D8FF61C755ad889348E70438087d6e5D0fF
Tx: 0x007d004095dc896eb64ab657d259e2b1bff841414fffc5dff4a2dee97380b3d0
5,948.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 10:00:14 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003b50BF9471c4591992c2883E724d98af46C1Aa
Tx: 0x0057000faa1c067771f609e28d2be3ba5fee9776c2e79f7f91dd5cbff6a39a87
