Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 9:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 9:51:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 9:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,970
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e • 0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e • 0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00D8797f046644CD42De93e34181056A170f1488 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 9:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Net sender
Unknown type
4,970 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,970 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00D8797f046644CD42De93e34181056A170f1488
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00D8797f046644CD42De93e34181056A170f1488
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:51:17 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:50:13 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,970 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:52:24 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
25 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:49:10 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:53:28 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:47:04 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:54:31 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:46:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,970 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:51:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
To: 0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:51:45 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00D8797f046644CD42De93e34181056A170f1488
Tx: 0x002e00f2e9118d7d210fa86f0e6d7a9a4301e9658801f574fb4063d925c2079b
4,970 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:51:27 A.M.
From: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
To: 0x002451715cF21E01192C11abA4151E7CF096Be04
Tx: 0x002a0059423cc9236a52ce9547b1627c699d8893ebcf27affb2a0a114da8da50
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:51:27 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00D8797f046644CD42De93e34181056A170f1488
Tx: 0x00490038bdfdfe501282869deb1670318893a008d9f6d702c2ada8fb6f6172a6
