Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 9:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 9:16:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 9:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 53.85
Unexplained QUAI: 1,904.33
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.2x above local average
280x previous minute
36x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
1,958.17 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0098B5F6f8CAD0B47FB86cBA78c144aa1C4Bf0db.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1958 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0098B5F6f8CAD0B47FB86cBA78c144aa1C4Bf0db.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 9:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0098B5F6f8CAD0B47FB86cBA78c144aa1C4Bf0db
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
53.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.43 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
1,958.17 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:16:00 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
7 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:14:55 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
53.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:17:05 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:13:52 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:18:09 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:12:47 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:19:12 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
145.07 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 9:11:44 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:16:57 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098B5F6f8CAD0B47FB86cBA78c144aa1C4Bf0db
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
53.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:16:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Tx: 0x0070001d7047c09fca9c9b05d70ad31e29b59016cb4cb2c990fb19e0d7628698
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:16:57 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098B5F6f8CAD0B47FB86cBA78c144aa1C4Bf0db
Tx: 0x000a00614265d4f5714a3bebd28d10b6f24cbd508a44fbb5c374d74f0aeb25c2
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 9:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003c00f493a83404d0ad62d4b2edcc75958d22afb6cf01cf130180ccf2f70935