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Spike bucket

11/02/2026, 8:34:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 11/02/2026, 8:34:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 8:35:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 306.18
Unexplained QUAI: 393.82
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
700 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 700 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 8:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net sender
Unknown type
306.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
306.18 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 8:34:04 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
306.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 8:34:48 A.M.
From: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006e0007be10866d0e40b3f6be2d14963e945e5bbc345b21bca9f3e9640497f6
Open txWallet profile
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 8:34:42 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4
Tx: 0x003a00c673990addb511a4220dfe6fa7e93cab8956afd4c1a6fc5f9dfea9bf89
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 8:34:04 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ed6D392193Ec9c4ca6a57f48Abcb33138e59a4
Tx: 0x001500387eeacccb2afed7fb82646aef5be23228391785a2b9b049f710633141