Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 7:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 7:04:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 7:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 43,573.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
13x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
18,619.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18620 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b.
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b -> 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 7:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,033.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
21,540.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,076.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,920.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b → 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
2 repeated flows • 18,076.45 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,033.57 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
700.55 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:03:47 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,410.84 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:02:43 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
18,619.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:04:51 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
998.69 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:01:40 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
24,954.24 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:05:54 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,556.22 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:00:36 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 7:06:57 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:59:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
625 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:55 A.M.
From: 0x004D39B55B52eCD6F0868eAF17A5480945e280A8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0023f570b6e60be7cc3dd619df7fb57ff297e84205a1cacef135cfc8c4c0
1,410.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:55 A.M.
From: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074004ec1bd9801811f7796f73fd8186e7e4fd7cc20012ecd532d9135f9880f
19,998.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:55 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800031791c7d26b3a39fa817fc0914a155922a38570cfa41e5756fc549cf9
2,920.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:55 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
Tx: 0x007b006efff83a25eebd96483026a994b0e19ea975309e601ae983b0aae3a426
528.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:36 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x0003005792b49633b63e8210ca126b19cc2b3cd4b88a5deb888fd37af4e45ad6
543.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:36 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x00464373D9628C8684A47421b48568634586CE9d
Tx: 0x0068004089aac15334c34ba9ee342443f5159926271053e8e5dabf1017016507
17,547.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 7:04:36 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x00240001c67e2244eff7f763547566a6cdafde63211aa372a83be1e6c86480ce