Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 6:12:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 383.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
383.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 384 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
217.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
136.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
136.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Net sender
Unknown type
114.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
Net sender
Unknown type
102.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 217.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate26 tx
1,461.01 QUAI • 43 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:11:45 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:10:41 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
383.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:12:49 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:09:37 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:13:53 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,038.09 QUAI • 65 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:08:34 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:14:57 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 6:16:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
136.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
136.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x004e002c6322bc0ea3fd5e848ab18228c50ebdd2d176a1ee7d1d9992ab163404
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:45 A.M.
From: 0x0060e6be97DC428659dd788D4B61cCC211C7D53F
To: 0x0064044fb7a1DC0ec89fD1188f28572af0677851
Tx: 0x0029002ad3be55a106c632e9de3700064f2d265e1f8d799634689ba2804ce4b0
114.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:05 A.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b000e862445c072df0ecaa8136dd7a97c568da7a132ea3b6540c0f85ee5e0
102.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:05 A.M.
From: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020000f29a8b395d5fd432badde17da77c883516e9b0ab0797c79f2e9682f6e
19.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 6:12:05 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007a0058da4a2e30802bd44f1ac0d2005cb105425d99d793b6c70b8be566ab3c