Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 5:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 5:02:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 5:03:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,822.24
Unexplained QUAI: 67,697.99
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
19x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
75,520.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003330EDe5Ba2286d3966fBA0a702619f164EE07 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 75520 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003330EDe5Ba2286d3966fBA0a702619f164EE07 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 5:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003330EDe5Ba2286d3966fBA0a702619f164EE07
Net sender
Unknown type
7,704.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,704.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052346958BfB3E04cc4F66e3981E2DD6F59569B
Net sender
Unknown type
118 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003E8dd6C7bD9aa3F409d654d1B6573e24233DF2
Net receiver
Unknown type
118 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
7,707 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:01:35 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
4,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:00:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
75,520.23 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:02:39 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
49,027.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:03:43 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,021.58 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:59:28 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:04:46 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:58:24 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
25,438.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:05:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,027.84 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:03:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7,704.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:02:33 A.M.
From: 0x003330EDe5Ba2286d3966fBA0a702619f164EE07
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0048003bdc2a665a2bc30b23db0bd31cb37e07b98e04292347f01093e823cbb8
118 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:02:33 A.M.
From: 0x0052346958BfB3E04cc4F66e3981E2DD6F59569B
To: 0x003E8dd6C7bD9aa3F409d654d1B6573e24233DF2
Tx: 0x0004000c2f2f5442cb0a18bb6f7c0281e5e3766f9db7d07e9b2f789cde127459