Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 5:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 5:00:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 5:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,000
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
3.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
4,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4.
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 -> 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 5:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 → 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
2 repeated flows • 4,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
1,021.58 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:59:28 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:00:32 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:58:24 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
7,707 QUAI • 8 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:01:35 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:57:21 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
75,520.23 QUAI • 7 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:02:39 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
66,212.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:56:17 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
49,027.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 5:03:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:00:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:00:12 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
Tx: 0x002c003988f0078238f9a977e2dd684b95db0ae01bc7f31f1903027646a5e89b
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 5:00:01 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0015b3e302712Cf81F2AD66Bc0F603603547caF4
Tx: 0x0058006a0f21f7c7781cfa44fdcfced7c973f248b2e2dc263f53c60eeb113a32