Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 4:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 4:55:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 4:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 65,259.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 -> 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 4:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
59,992.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
59,992.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
5,266.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,266.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 → 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
2 repeated flows • 5,266.65 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 59,992.39 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:55:13 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
19,000 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:54:09 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
66,212.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:56:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:53:06 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:57:21 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:52:03 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:58:24 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
359.43 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:50:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
59,992.39 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:55:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
266.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:55:29 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x005c0078bd0e82fd839b59de269ad5f4c454bab597a2603bc5d0748902a91d94
59,992.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:55:29 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x002100695febcbd2f184bcfa2e0ea446ece2add7c7e474e0ca49867b23f669a2
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:55:13 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x006800095d075ad5dc8e2639299d64d129b289c179a56b3dec5cc1cf8fcb3b7a
