Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 4:10:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 352.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
352.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 353 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
294.03 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net receiver
Unknown type
198.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
58.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001Af0DC1238c4F9a6A338Dc17BA52926483E65B
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e365b06Ee8579ECacF4F01eA7ae0EB6576D3A
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
113.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:09:56 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
725.68 QUAI • 63 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:08:52 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
352.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:10:59 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:07:48 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:06:44 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
21.38 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:13:03 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:05:41 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,069.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 4:14:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
198.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
58.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x001Af0DC1238c4F9a6A338Dc17BA52926483E65B
Tx: 0x005a0039a8cc6e63179b5c92825d66aaf4286caeed5d4f2d518acf8a237a0698
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x0002007f7411004dfb7fdf5368aea7ed99dfcfbdb0014e5fde9ad2fc6d93c09d
8.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x005a0061ee34269cd71874d26b762f5782bf9320fccdca93cfad51bf9a0dc325
38.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0006007a121eb380fc4b8b790f5e8f0b2ce79897decd1e30988c6016795fadd0
198.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Tx: 0x0063004c6b0d0433a9f8fcd6d43d578430a9b53ed57b29c25ff7431fcbec3094
43.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e365b06Ee8579ECacF4F01eA7ae0EB6576D3A
Tx: 0x00040040c0daf4361e54167b3b1d4e0a9858afea8ae286971771ee6a2656b11b