Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:49:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,220.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,220.04 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net sender
Unknown type
1,962.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net sender
Unknown type
1,075.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00792421F1ACF56B73FF86A13699271375f5803e
Net sender
Unknown type
730.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Net sender
Unknown type
344.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,220.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:49:21 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
11,003.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:48:17 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
4,220.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
974.75 QUAI • 14 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:47:14 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
25,375.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,847.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:46:10 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
102,359.58 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,962.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,075.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700627c1887434cd6b33ae4762212b70e32c641fba2af25893547ea3f8b7d
730.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x00792421F1ACF56B73FF86A13699271375f5803e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f004a79ac0115a08acd8314fe0d9b5aab4110f773e764296f33d47a9480c3
1,962.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073000a26a087b734b95a0428563a3d82bd14560a341f5310f330f6c601865a
344.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340007bd2a81703d0d3e694bc51f90eadbd5d9e3ec8afd6f42245df9a1f321
107.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250063ea583f52a7908d09c533c4b59adc0e0ef382d07afec80178345807bf