Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,992.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
27x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
19,992.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19992 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
7,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029512E1E10E66bd91AE821A1B6B06B1890F1D4
Net sender
Unknown type
7,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078DE61386a6025D4b406149a17284321Ab4Cd2
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,992.01 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
11,004.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
731.41 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:41:53 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
19,992.01 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
13,745.91 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:40:49 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
102,359.58 QUAI • 6 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,144.13 QUAI • 3 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:39:45 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,847.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:46:10 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,998.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:38:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
7,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:59 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x002a00270d39920c04bf63ee667b7439afc3b39272fb4d8457f04d5196c25e01
2,931.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x0001006d080f223b88015cd4472a24822c094018cc4183eb381f78bc86b08f91
107.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Tx: 0x003b006e5e5d235c22089855072dd7e079468a63a331f011d7e3aaadc7ab809c
965 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b8C0AD9db247E692926b896093861583cD60A
Tx: 0x001d001bc38dae996df871109767efac33a82821eed1bf0006f10fc82a2d10a4
987.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b56BF094A9BcB898Bf7D56A1D1dA85E717624
Tx: 0x00520051c47b4f13475f38864ad7f0a25b1ea88d44b2b2da3ebd913968328137
7,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
From: 0x0029512E1E10E66bd91AE821A1B6B06B1890F1D4
To: 0x0078DE61386a6025D4b406149a17284321Ab4Cd2
Tx: 0x007500155e39843611a1298e6dbee84cfcdbb5b3594f73e0b3f5291f84a50d86