Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,538.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
970.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 970 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
9,152.74 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,343.08 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,086.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,679.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,497.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 43 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
970.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:16:11 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
4,373.73 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
13,538.83 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:17:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,513.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:14:03 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3,753.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:18:19 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate16 tx
22,372.17 QUAI • 29 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:12:59 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:19:23 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
8,898.01 QUAI • 35 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:11:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,086.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
919.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x00530046a84902aba11660bcb0c907638570c640361ed10b8bf1db78401f2361
4,086.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x0037007cd59235602012dec0db50e85e070960a7cbbe150e9985497052c3663f
811.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x000b0026932737b887483380573767f42b3980b1357e57d35475ffa586b34402
1,497.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x00300019b4da189e2f1ae9004e212db393fec8c66b1272b2d9a3e941675a4f38
135.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053E9fdF56E58dce123AAC0145DD24DDB6Ea507
Tx: 0x0065007bb014792a7e87dd8974c82dbc379b001aba9d9854cc95a09a5c361774
1,206.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x00050034b83cad798c7b4d1183498eba1ff070a990e8f2725e64bb685109d18b
678.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0052d1507B3FD77A7e125096dB43ec321CD4831e
Tx: 0x004e001be1f185e5a9c85bc0e5a53f7cd2ebc5986f24310fef72a02b3a1db70d
1,005.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e7706c58686D000bD557c1D7677C3ac57B020
Tx: 0x00070020b3edf5d9a2f974bf5663df38040a34937113fe4b29f525aba35edc4b
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:37 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007b0075376f0e11851349e28aca50ad388a1db257a05adaf43c9dfa39fbf3d6
414.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e1Af85c269d884b4363c324C0f29c3344B801
Tx: 0x001f003580a8a4e63308f5f7d604691656a1faecce86f1cbe5f9204fb36d0fa4
1,679.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0061007799943591a62833e65082fe3e2520a18470fc8d74c911d75b7a4194ed
118.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0052346958BfB3E04cc4F66e3981E2DD6F59569B
Tx: 0x0059005eb321524e235ccd1be19a982adecb3a27d121101e217aa65f44b67ebb
943.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Tx: 0x006f0059b7a0773a855d19e75fd419b41e18d2a4a36fd3f86d2d08418254cc10
42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004a00125df81a8416e183c4bb3cd0523d1c112f951ae770d0a58cd5deeb95e3
