Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
55% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,391.6
Unexplained QUAI: 1,982.13
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.7x previous minute
4.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,373.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4374 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (45% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (55%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,436.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
954.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00508feC27130C95019a2d16B39f7017700f4F54
Net receiver
Unknown type
908.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005179a96b8D6152a8587F90A1ee6c08483CDc84
Net receiver
Unknown type
528.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Net receiver
Unknown type
512.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
4,373.73 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
2,513.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:14:03 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
970.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:16:11 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate16 tx
22,372.17 QUAI • 29 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:12:59 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
13,538.83 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:17:15 A.M.
-3 min
21 tx
8,898.01 QUAI • 35 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:11:55 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
3,753.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:18:19 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:19:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
908.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00508feC27130C95019a2d16B39f7017700f4F54
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
528.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005179a96b8D6152a8587F90A1ee6c08483CDc84
Tx: 0x0011000a1b7c2b12fa01021d63b7e32013f5e06a06e68e7f6598cd9b22490c89
442.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Db56306D6cCEd8244AA2e13a0508eFae8ECa4
Tx: 0x00600057ce4247569570452b24fdea4c924736e77222cc4b642618cf2bd02006
512.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x003b001a875967cdcc5e8166a59ecfdf8f486f5813f104ae8f1a12c46fb9248b
908.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00508feC27130C95019a2d16B39f7017700f4F54
Tx: 0x00590038dea8c17222148fba8899096679fb6accca0bf583809a0b1fc0680963
