Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 2:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 2:00:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 2:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,227.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
2,057.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2057 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 2:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,091.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,091.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
523.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
Net sender
Unknown type
401.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
3 repeated flows • 212 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,057.23 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:00:08 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:59:04 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,227.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:01:13 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,538.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:58:01 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
17,831.98 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:02:23 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
4,866.42 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:56:57 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/02/2026, 2:03:26 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
11,499.32 QUAI • 31 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:55:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,091.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,091.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C
Tx: 0x00700005a564c60da2927ae42ad191f23004bd47aa6f4b81f6ea9da4750ee97b
523.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Tx: 0x0008003a5b87d1bbbc741638f8cecb1d89c161870219e3414bf47b0c21f04e0b
401.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00160046eeb030800883ccbc7ecf364004e16898c01197b03b9059dcadb7ca6c
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0038002f2212f068becde892e920a20b3194081285646155098ec38a07290f10
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003a0019441413bb0beeaeb27431fe39a784582b8d421020b480210f528f4e78
201 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 2:00:20 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002000059c5a2259401347828f0615a9a0e9a56760fee1258208feda50dc7756