Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 1:45:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 1:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
57% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,551.82
Unexplained QUAI: 7,291.2
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
4.9x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
16,843.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 16843 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,010.73 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Net sender
Unknown type
2,160.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,747.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,747.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
Net sender
Unknown type
1,396.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,010.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
16,843.02 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:45:14 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
3,467.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:44:10 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
9,551.82 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:46:18 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
6,569.1 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:43:07 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
10,279.23 QUAI • 22 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:47:22 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
10,586.51 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:42:03 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
15,500.01 QUAI • 27 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:48:26 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
821.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:41:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,160.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
793.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00389d6003B44DD71FCFF1d7A1a47f7eBCD82496
Tx: 0x00030078b9678db85512754e6017219ebe80d5fe345abc2b9f699afccd815513
1,747.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Tx: 0x0040004d0f7396b22cc42d6be4bbd0246351c9fd306c0abedebf8ad5b85ddac8
231.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007003f26f06ebb05d220c36cefaef3920e849ad5ef3049d348e843a50f9880
285.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012001036e04f7b8002f44f312b36d5b78a813e53c6224bcda6d9a390f17f06
1,270.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370046cca6f04d98fbb39f221e5b59c22b541a98fe63826f77bfd11d4bbd2f
972.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065002922437306eb9c861dff44cc65acc38749ee11be4857ae556c7cf17a2d
1,396.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043002d9fef86a15e0c95fdc7e98d5d4faea60ca7d5f74fc7f385aae6535778
476.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260011845fa2c54f40853115c7bca7405dfe7efafa8dd3aaceaaa09f3888b7
218.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x002F6B7309F8d28cF7da67fda5040581Ef27fd87
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0060c8d1ee579686d1baf3b43e3e8a49cb8de237fa897393c79753a1184d
2,160.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072002571d0126f2ba7082bc89546b2f6663a8616e8d883a96fbdffce30640f