Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 1:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 1:42:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 1:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,569.1
Unexplained QUAI: 4,017.4
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
13x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
10,586.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10587 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 1:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,947.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,184.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,621.64 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
716.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net receiver
Unknown type
552.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
10,586.51 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:42:03 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
821.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:41:00 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
6,569.1 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:43:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate21 tx
254,235.83 QUAI • 35 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:39:54 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
3,467.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:44:10 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:38:51 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
16,843.02 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:45:14 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
8,528.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:37:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,184.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
477.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
Tx: 0x007a00480be10a4d16f5edf4d00f9bb5638a75a4d22fcdad046ba36c2814a80e
716.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x002f002b28adecd6d5d3a10bf11647e6b16ec2898bde9f9eac2f5b2f8a70a81e
285.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x0064007312e63a02b33e10ec9d3093dfb5f13a2d7640f0b9a42f46a210c7b6bc
352 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x001d0001c0a32e6adfa9b4da504ac74b11a1fbc38177784e3359e725568546bc
552.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x000b006af8a4a1d61e69c12a9c3034790bff1305f030029248f35fbd1774aa8a
4,184.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:42:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Tx: 0x0053005a530b96d136c975eb0af7c67ee8ccea6abcc0e8abd29dd1a5c179e2c6
