Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 1:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 1:28:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 1:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,145.22
Unexplained QUAI: 27,604.26
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
4.8x previous minute
21x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
7
28.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
31,749.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 31749 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 1:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,455.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net sender
Unknown type
1,023 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,023 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,021.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0021c7fc3566F2A633Aed9806b7c0cEe6a2dA41f
Net receiver
Unknown type
839.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate25 tx
31,749.48 QUAI • 41 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:28:07 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
6,574.67 QUAI • 32 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:27:02 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,509.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:29:12 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
2,113.29 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:25:57 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
9,163.61 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:30:16 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
8,607.33 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:24:52 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
17,950.01 QUAI • 31 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:31:21 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
3,621.39 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:23:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,023 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
727.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0013006d2c61c7b9c12b74dd219b409ab260c91a9d282d79db0cbf34680917dc
616.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb
Tx: 0x000f000a70531bb4ba8ed5604858a8388c55eeaa3ad42b7c3c8d2a4dceb6e7af
165.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0070bf09F47467A0D0Fe3052D9D56009dA17eB50
Tx: 0x002300606d3bf6e05cc96768652a0dbfd7f4618231715037efe5e078fc7f4819
294.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x005d0016b2d3438c90a01b84dff4b75b3da79a10642da057e9d3fe883bf618d5
839.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0021c7fc3566F2A633Aed9806b7c0cEe6a2dA41f
Tx: 0x0053006e3baa59fe103f5d72602bcc5b900ec56ad647ebe7ee2d02c37f5f4f58
478.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x00740009dda1dc2665145696f0de4a7f2d7c206c33209bda90120a08107cc26f
1,023 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:28:04 A.M.
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Tx: 0x002f005e9852c0a1f179d0c8572d9c85a09c43c508fefede6b3223218e70cf41