Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 1:23:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 1:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,621.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,621.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054 • 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3621 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054 • 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,493.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,439.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,439.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,133.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
688.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:22:42 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
4,311.3 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:21:36 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,621.39 QUAI • 17 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:23:46 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
12,151.23 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:20:32 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
8,607.33 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:24:52 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
2,113.29 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:25:57 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate15 tx
19,804.98 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:19:26 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
6,574.67 QUAI • 32 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:27:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,439.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:23:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
360.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x006300656f49a34bdecc8afea82bbb832582c46b3d07316090dc65eead7f11e8
1,133.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x001000440f3194b55cec64bb0398b9b2ee4a920d445023c1169bff5e8d8b745f
688.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004553a6d0B891091ED001f56EeC7Baf94794772
Tx: 0x0014006554dadf1e747c1a64439412ec244810582cb0554c49069aa9d7de57e6
1,439.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0045003727a41aceac7b1cf544524b9d81bf80fd3e48d71211f1d6e97d83f937