Spike bucket
11/02/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/02/2026, 1:16:00 A.M. to 11/02/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,026.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,471.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4472 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/02/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,224.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,091.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,480.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0006F1C5c62E6F827a446353f7596353df7d5ab5
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,877.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Net receiver
Unknown type
602.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
4,471.71 QUAI • 21 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:16:14 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
17,841.31 QUAI • 26 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:15:10 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
9,026.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:17:19 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:14:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate12 tx
21,279.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:18:22 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:13:03 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
19,804.98 QUAI • 33 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:19:26 A.M.
-4 min
24 tx
10,426.41 QUAI • 39 addresses
11/02/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,091.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
135.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x007a001f0f7f6c0a4764b90539dd21d5a1eb6727d2aff115a52aa47bfbb185e5
132.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000b7C4b595073eB21536B81B8A233d0382094bc
Tx: 0x001b0068bdb55cb64460d98e6f9a11a434ab18422530f2a80dac84432b91f98e
602.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Tx: 0x005a0006e96f9dfcd48369a6baefebb57ec63359896d7c322436a0c690123674
2,877.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0006F1C5c62E6F827a446353f7596353df7d5ab5
Tx: 0x000300511e1a39ea5d40c6fd3d49d224b0779882f13bd1801c464fe697d4cd64
5,091.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x00410079f3c2ce2df003c577a625de0405195ecd313d0975d5f0b2b2fbc30a47
186.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
11/02/2026, 1:16:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001c5EacaeE11c6C62251271fb84844166202e57
Tx: 0x004e0058bc5abbaa1907383768947de823dba2d6af4b422d9b96659bf8cec9d8