Spike bucket
11/01/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 11/01/2026, 7:17:00 P.M. to 11/01/2026, 7:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,204.84
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,204.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E15A82074071f4d691e426eC23d6259C4621D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1205 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E15A82074071f4d691e426eC23d6259C4621D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 11/01/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,204.84 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002E15A82074071f4d691e426eC23d6259C4621D
Net sender
Unknown type
799.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
303.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
102.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,204.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:16:54 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:15:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,204.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:17:57 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:14:45 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:19:02 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
824.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:13:40 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:20:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
11/01/2026, 7:12:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
799.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 7:17:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002E15A82074071f4d691e426eC23d6259C4621D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
303.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 7:17:47 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011004981c64a05457a2370a10fe8190d514e99b64d5c91027ddf8adf5d8489
799.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 7:17:47 P.M.
From: 0x002E15A82074071f4d691e426eC23d6259C4621D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050001a055d16efa960536dd512be1cf0ddcaa94f7398dbdf52cbb0a92f4728
102.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
11/01/2026, 7:17:47 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023003909a338dc4c86110dbdcc58b52bf8c2eb969b539c30e26c89d2feab45